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ESFGUM This Hydrologic Outlook is for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan. Invest 96W is still a broad, disorganized disturbance located about 300 miles north of Kosrae. Ensemble model guidance continues to show a passage anywhere between south of Guam to north of Saipan as a tropical storm or typhoon. Uncertainty is still high regarding timing, location, and intensity, but the potential for locally heavy rainfall and flooding continues to increase approaching this weekend.

ESFPPG An active trough to the north is projected to drift southward and move over the territory by Thursday night. Widespread showers may be heavy and persistent at times with the possibility of thunderstorms. Landslides will also be possible along steep mountainous terrain. Impacts could begin as early as Thursday and are expected to persist through the weekend. While there is still uncertainty in the exact magnitude and duration of rainfall, plan now for wet

ESFPPG An active trough to the north is projected to drift southward and move over the territory by midweek. This trough should remain strong and active while over the territory, and may even intensify with embedded low pressure centers. Widespread showers may be heavy and persistent at times with the possibility of thunderstorms. Widespread flash flooding may occur from this rainfall, and landslides will be possible along steep mountainous terrain. Impacts could begin as early as Wednesday and are

ESFAJK An atmospheric river will move into the region Thursday, driving heavy rain across much of the Panhandle into the weekend. However, areas south of Frederick Sound will likely see the heaviest rain. Anticipate 24 hour rainfall amounts to reach 3 to 5 inches at sea level for many communities south of Frederick Sound, with localized areas near Ketchikan and Misty Fjords closer to 4 to 6 inches, especially in the mountains. At this time, the primary threat is many

The Michigan Department of Environmental Quality has issued an Air Quality Alert for Monday October 12, for elevated levels of fine particulates (PM2.5) due to wildfire smoke. Localized pollutants levels within those area may reach the Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups with the the potential for Unhealthy. The alert is in effect for the following Michigan Counties, Menominee, Dickinson, Iron, Marquette, and Baraga. It is recommended that, when possible, you avoid strenuous outdoor

ESFPPG An active trough to the north is projected to drift southward and move over the territory by midweek. This trough should remain strong and active while over the territory, and may even intensify with embedded low pressure centers. Widespread showers may be heavy and persistent at times with the possibility of thunderstorms. Widespread flash flooding may occur from this rainfall, and landslides will be possible along steep mountainous terrain. Impacts could begin as early as Wednesday and are