Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
438 AM EDT Mon Jun 08 2026
Valid 12Z Mon Jun 08 2026 - 12Z Wed Jun 10 2026
...There is an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms
over parts of the Northern Plains on Tuesday and the Upper/Middle
Mississippi Valley on Wednesday...
...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Central Plains on Monday...
...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over
parts of the Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley,
and Central/Southern Plains on Monday...
...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over
parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and Northern Plains on
Tuesday...
Moisture flowing northward over the Mississippi Valley will
produce showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain over the
Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley, the Ohio Valley, and the
Tennessee Valley. Therefore, the WPC issued a Slight Risk (level
2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the region through
Tuesday morning. The associated heavy rain will mainly cause
localized flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams,
and low-lying areas most vulnerable.
In addition, showers and severe thunderstorms will develop over
parts of the Central Plains and Central High Plains. Therefore,
the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Central High Plains and the
Central Plains through Tuesday morning. The hazards associated
with these thunderstorms include frequent lightning, severe wind
gusts, hail, and the threat of tornadoes.
On Tuesday, there is an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Northern Plains. The hazards
associated with these thunderstorms include frequent lightning,
severe wind gusts, hail, and the threat of tornadoes. Moreover,
the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall
over parts of the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley.
Furthermore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of
excessive rainfall over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valley on
Tuesday into Wednesday morning. The associated heavy rain will
mainly cause localized flash flooding, with urban areas, roads,
small streams, and low-lying areas most vulnerable over both
regions.
The threat of severe thunderstorms moves into the Upper/Middle
Mississippi Valley as the front moves eastward on Wednesday.
Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley on
Wednesday. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms include
frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the threat of
tornadoes.
Moreover, showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain will develop
over parts of the Central Plains/Middle Mississippi Valley.
Therefore, the WPC issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive
rainfall over parts of the Central Plains/Middle Mississippi
Valley on Wednesday. The associated heavy rain will mainly cause
localized flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams,
and low-lying areas most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, a front moving onshore over the Pacific Northwest on
Monday will trigger rain over parts of the Northwest and the
Northern California Coast, which will move inland to the Northern
Intermountain Region overnight Monday. Onshore flow and
upper-level energy will help produce rain and high-elevation snow
over parts of the Pacific Northwest and the Northern Intermountain
Region by Tuesday into Wednesday.
Ziegenfelder
Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
