Special Weather Statement Guam, Northern Mariana Islands | Effective 03/10/2026 22:57

Newly formed Tropical Depression Nuri (03W) is currently northwest of Yap, which is then expected to graze the Marianas along the northwestern coastal waters over the next few days as it heads northeast and interacts with remnants of an old frontal system. During passage, it could bring significant showers across the Marianas, especially to Tinian and Saipan, or just west of the islands. Due to the unsettled pattern formed between Nuri and former Invest 96W to the northeast of the Marianas, lines of intense showers have already begun forming upstream from Nuri, which are expected to bring flash flooding risk to Tinian and Saipan as early as tonight. At this time, 5 to 8 inches of rain is possible over Tinian and Saipan between tonight and Friday afternoon, mainly if 03W treks closer to the islands. High uncertainty remains regarding rainfall totals due to the uncertainty in TC motion. Nuri's movement and development cycle makes it less likely for tropical storm force winds to develop over the Marianas. Even so, winds are still expected to become more southwesterly and sometimes fresh to strong, with an occasional near gale-force gust possible during the most intense showers by Friday. After, conditions are expected to improve considerably as diffusive northerlies follow along the leeside of said storm after it exits to the northeast by early next week.